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When Will Hurricane Matthew Hit Jamaica, Cuba and Haiti?

One of the most powerful Atlantic hurricanes in recent years has been moving across the Caribbean towards Jamaica, Haiti and eastern Cuba.

Hurricane warnings continue in Jamaica, Haiti, eastern Cuba, and the southeastern Bahamas. Hurricane watches remain in effect for the Turks and Caicos Islands, the Cuban province of Camaguey, and the central Bahamas, including Long Island, Exuma, Rum Cay, San Salvador and Cat Island.

Current Watches/Warnings

Current Watches/Warnings

Hurricane Matthew is moving slowly northward as a strong and extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane, located about 290 miles southwest of Port-au-Prince, Haiti.

Current Storm Status

Current Storm Status

Interestingly Sunday night, a fortunately-placed NOAA buoy sampled Matthew’s eye, providing valuable information for meteorologists.

Caribbean Forecast

Matthew’s tropical storm-force wind field (at least 39 mph sustained winds) extends up to 195 miles from the center, and hurricane-force winds extend up to 30 miles from the center.

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Current Wind Speed and Gusts

Current Wind Speed and Gusts

Some fluctuations in intensity are possible over the next couple of days, but Matthew will likely remain a powerful hurricane through its Caribbean voyage.

Peak Impact Timing

Here is the approximate timing of the worst wind and surge impacts, coinciding with the nearest passage of the eyewall of Matthew.

Projected Path and Intensity

Projected Path and Intensity

  • Jamaica: Late Monday/early Tuesday
  • Haiti/Dominican Republic: Late Monday/Tuesday
  • Eastern Cuba: Tuesday/Tuesday night
  • Southeast & central Bahamas/Turks & Caicos: Tuesday afternoon into at least Wednesday night

Small, subtle changes in the path of the eyewall, sometimes not resolvable until hours before the passage, can make a large difference on wind impact.

Note that even though certain locations may not be in the cone of uncertainty, impacts will be spread well beyond the edge of the cone.

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Written by PH

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